Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.115881 1.392206 1.697095 2.055235 2.461214 2.904100 3.420716
2025-02-09 0.637621 0.963703 1.367161 1.888342 2.529424 3.278820 4.207497
2025-02-16 0.366157 0.688119 1.138082 1.774995 2.617276 3.659908 5.014744
2025-02-23 0.221902 0.527431 1.009849 1.751831 2.794901 4.146435 5.967402
2025-03-02 0.124778 0.393935 0.880617 1.694432 2.906200 4.541932 6.815822
2025-03-09 0.083300 0.339982 0.859218 1.784161 3.219124 5.211330 8.039138
2025-03-16 0.046763 0.270146 0.788583 1.780153 3.387439 5.684581 9.014574
2025-03-23 0.031873 0.245893 0.796406 1.902423 3.747995 6.435381 10.383152
2025-03-30 0.019483 0.215884 0.782879 1.982329 4.043393 7.100456 11.649747
2025-04-06 0.010090 0.181883 0.749170 2.018182 4.266460 7.664481 12.787241
2025-04-13 0.003410 0.139682 0.679199 1.972696 4.349090 8.019825 13.636253
2025-04-20 0.001095 0.116463 0.650017 2.001161 4.552643 8.557814 14.752403
2025-04-27 0.000198 0.097416 0.626810 2.041576 4.783836 9.153505 15.979235
2025-05-04 NaN 0.069388 0.558270 1.972931 4.818164 9.446959 16.776039
2025-05-11 NaN 0.047884 0.496254 1.906125 4.847698 9.730282 17.561598
2025-05-18 NaN 0.036224 0.465827 1.907962 5.001080 10.211604 18.647570
2025-05-25 NaN 0.024246 0.419554 1.860547 5.055997 10.533760 19.499985
2025-06-01 NaN 0.022061 0.429975 1.963324 5.404787 11.341051 21.095340
2025-06-08 NaN 0.015808 0.404148 1.962822 5.549825 11.816565 22.195191
2025-06-15 NaN 0.015422 0.424696 2.095393 5.964555 12.745799 23.998460
2025-06-22 NaN 0.013453 0.429176 2.181749 6.289052 13.530667 25.591051
2025-06-29 NaN 0.010393 0.418099 2.220572 6.518095 14.160022 26.953263
2025-07-06 NaN 0.006131 0.380540 2.172338 6.564829 14.482506 27.846400